28 Jun

Mortgage payments: Understanding timing and avoiding confusion

General

Posted by: Dean Kimoto

Mortgage payments can sometimes be a tricky topic for some homeowners, leading to confusion about when payments are due and what time period they cover.

Recently, we watched two client misunderstandings unfold, highlighting the need for clear, calm communication. Let’s delve into their cases and clarify why mortgage payments are made in arrears, not in advance.

Note to our readers: For client privacy, the names of the subjects in this story have been changed. The values mentioned in this story are accurate and true. The case studies in the article below are presented to educate Canadians regarding mortgage payments and their timing.

Case study 1: Agatha’s private mortgage confusion

Agatha accepted a 1-year private first mortgage on May 31, 2023, providing 12 post-dated cheques from July 1, 2023, to June 1, 2024.

When her lender contacted her in April 2024 about renewing or paying off the mortgage, Agatha was surprised. She believed the maturity date should be July 1, 2024, arguing with her lender that her final payment on June 1st should cover an additional month.

Agatha’s mortgage terms:

  • Mortgage terms: Agatha’s registered mortgage document specified a “Balance Due Date” of June 1, 2024, with payments calculated “monthly, not in advance.”
  • Payment timing: Mortgage payments are made in arrears, not in advance. This means the payment on June 1 covers the month of May, not the upcoming month of June.

Outcome: Don’t be quick to blame!

Despite the lender explaining this, Agatha was only convinced after consulting her real estate lawyer.

Unfortunately, due to her initial hostile reaction, the renewal offer was withdrawn, forcing Agatha to start all over with a new lender. This misunderstanding on Agatha’s part cost her significant fees and out-of-pocket expenses to refinance this mortgage with a different lender.

Understanding payment timing: arrears vs. advance

Mortgage payments are made in arrears, meaning the payment you make at the beginning of the month is for the previous month’s interest and principal. This is different from many other payment types, which are often made in advance.

Understanding whether payments are due in advance or arrears can be confusing. Here are some examples:

  • Mortgages: Payments are typically made in arrears, covering the previous month.
  • Car financing: Payments are also made in arrears.
  • Car leasing, cell phone contracts, and insurance: Payments are usually made in advance.
Table - Arrears vs Advance

Case study 2: Mahi and Amir’s renewal mix-up

Mahi and Amir had a 5-year mortgage renewing on June 1, 2024. They arranged a new mortgage with a different bank, setting the closing date for May 31, 2024.

However, the closing was delayed to June 3, 2024, leading their old bank to collect a full payment on June 1, 2024.

Mahi & Amir’s mortgage terms:

  • Payment misunderstanding: Mahi thought the payment on June 1 was for the month of June and expected a refund for most of it. However, like Agatha, she learned the payment on June 1 covered the previous month of May.

Their outcome: Why it pays to keep cool

Similar to Agatha’s case, the payment made on June 1, 2024, covered the mortgage for May, not June. This concept of arrears was initially confusing for Mahi and Amir, but consulting with our team and then their real estate lawyer helped clarify the situation.

After this consultation and reviewing the payout details, Mahi and Amir understood the timing of their mortgage payments and avoided further confusion.

Note: Your mortgage adjustment date (first day when interest will begin to accrue on a home mortgage) is a one-time adjustment on the funding day, which can add to the confusion. Always check with your lender, real estate lawyer, or a licensed mortgage professional if you’re unclear about the terms of your mortgage.

Key takeaways

Always double-check your mortgage documents and confirm with your lender how your payments are structured. Understanding the payment schedule can save you from potential confusion and ensure you’re always prepared for your financial commitments.

Don’t let mortgage payment timing stress you out! Remember, unlike rent, your mortgage is always paying off the past, not pre-paying for the future. Think of it as catching up with your financial responsibilities, not getting ahead of them.

By understanding these details, homeowners can better navigate their mortgage agreements and avoid unnecessary misunderstandings.

If in doubt, always consult with an industry professional to clarify your specific situation. Clear communication and understanding of these terms prevent misunderstandings and  help maintain a smooth relationship with your lender.

This article was written for Canadian Mortgage Trends by:

24 Jun

Are longer mortgage terms the solution to Canada’s payment shock challenges?

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Posted by: Dean Kimoto

Payment shocks at renewal due to shorter mortgage terms have become a growing concern for many Canadians. This has led some to question whether adopting longer mortgage terms, similar to those in the United States, would provide greater financial stability.

While Canadian lenders can theoretically provide 15-, 20-, 25-, or even 30-year mortgage terms, market realities and consumer preferences pose substantial challenges.

“The reason we don’t have long term mortgages in Canada is not because they’re illegal, it’s because within the Bank Act… banks are limited on what they can charge for prepayment penalties if you break the mortgage,” Edge Realty Analytics founder Ben Rabidoux explained at a recent conference in Toronto.

“There’s a tremendous amount of interest rate risk embedded in giving someone a 30-year mortgage and then having them break it down the road,” he continued. “So, the banks are like ‘we’re never going to offer 30-year mortgages if we have no way of ensuring that you’re going to stay within that.’”

This issue is particularly pressing as 76% of outstanding mortgages in Canada are expected to come up for renewal by the end of 2026, with the associated payment shocks expected to lead to a rise in mortgage delinquencies.

Assuming no change in interest rates by then, the median payment increase for all mortgage borrowers would be over 30%, while fixed-payment variable-rate borrowers would see their payments rise by over 60%, according to Rabidoux.

Longer terms used to be common

Although 5-year terms are the default option today, Canadians once had a broader range of choices for their payment cycles. In fact, Bruno Valko, VP of national sales for RMG, recalls a time when lenders provided a wider variety of options.

“When I was VP of sales at First Line Mortgages, we had 15-, 18- and a 25-year [fixed-rate terms] available back in the early 2000s, and we sold some, but not many,” he told CMT. “Now, I don’t think lenders have anything more than 10.”

This is in contrast to the mortgage market south of the border, where American homebuyers typically lock in a rate for the entirety of their mortgage term and enjoy an open mortgage that allows them to refinance or pay off the loan early without significant penalties.

“They’re fully open, so who cares? There’s no IRD [interest rate differential] potential,” Valko says, adding that open mortgages are available in Canada, but at a significant rate premium. “You’re going to be paying an astronomical amount of additional interest, so people choose not to do it.”

At the same time, Valko says that as more Canadians find their personal financial stability shaped by the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decisions, many are starting to wonder if there’s a better way forward, one that lets consumers lock in their rates for longer.

“They can do it right now; it’s just that the prices are fairly expensive,” said Peter Routledge, head of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), at a recent Parliamentary finance committee hearing. “In aggregate, if the product set evolved in that way, that would be a net benefit to the system because it gives mortgagors more choices to manage their personal financial risks.”

Canadian mortgages tied to U.S. rates

The biggest irony in our current system, according to Valko, is that Canadian mortgage rates are much more dependent on the American economy than the domestic market, yet Canadians feel those shocks more acutely.

Fixed mortgage rates are priced based off the Government of Canada’s 5-year bond yield, which has historically been closely tied to the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, which is itself influenced by U.S. economic indicators like inflation and employment.

“It doesn’t matter what happens in Canada, what matters is what happens in the U.S.,” he says.

“So, if we are so tied to the U.S. in terms of where our mortgages are priced, why do we not have a similar mortgage program?” Valko asks. “It would make sense that our mortgage programs be more aligned with the country that influences our mortgage rates.”

What would happen if Canadians had longer mortgage terms?

Though it’s not financially feasible for most banks today, Valko says a move away from the 5-year term standard would allow Canadians to enjoy greater financial stability, while the Bank of Canada would play a much less significant role in their daily lives.

“The consumer has many advantages, particularly if they don’t want to sell,” he says. “They don’t have any changes in payments and they don’t have the anxiety of a renewal coming up, none of that.”

At the same time, Valko warns that because Canadian household finances are so closely tied to interest rates—through their mortgages and other loan products—the Bank of Canada wields greater influence with monetary policy changes, its primary tool for tackling inflation.

“In the U.S., you could argue that [the Federal Reserve] has to go much higher [when raising interest rates] because the impact is much less; it doesn’t impact a lot of their mortgages,” he says, adding that is why Canada has been able to start lowering its interest rates earlier than its southern neighbour.

The most obvious argument in favour of keeping things as they are, however, was perhaps the 2007-08 Financial Crisis.

“We were one of the best in the world in terms of being able to weather the subprime mortgage crisis,” Valko says. “Our system was strong, our system was able to weather that, and other countries weren’t as strong.”

OSFI’s Routledge made a similar observation during his Parliamentary finance committee apearance, saying many of his central bank peers around the world are “envious of the track record of credit quality in our mortgage system.”

“Every country’s mortgage system is a reflection of its history and its regulatory policy. I would start by saying Canada’s mortgage system has worked quite well,” he said.

Why longer-term rates may soon have more appeal to Canadians

While the Bank Act keeps longer-term mortgage options at a higher price point, there is a chance that Canadians will be willing to pay that premium to lock in rates for longer, given recent interest rate fluctuations.

In fact, Valko says he’s seen it happen once before, when the high interest rates of the late 1990s plummeted during the dot-com crash of early 2001.

“People back then saw 7.25% [mortgage rates on a 5-year term] for such a long time, and then when 10-year terms were offered at, let’s say, 5%, people said, ‘Wow, that’s way lower than the seven and a quarter 5-year term that was available last year,’” he says. “If people are looking at 5% mortgage rates now, and let’s say [once rates drop further] the 10-year is offered at four and a quarter, I think people would be inclined to take it.”

Currently less than 5% of Canadian mortgage borrowers have a 10-year term due to the higher interest rates associated with longer terms and the high likelihood of breaking the mortgage early, which would result in substantial prepayment penalties.

As Rabidoux alluded to earlier, these penalties, especially if the mortgage is broken within the first five years, can be particularly severe.

However, he does think Canada will eventually move to adopt longer terms similar to those available in the U.S.

“It’s a good idea,” he said. “I think it’s probably coming, but it’s probably at least a few years out.”

This article was writtenf or Canadian Mortgage Trends by:

17 Jun

Borrowers leaving money on the table by not negotiating their mortgage renewal rates

General

Posted by: Dean Kimoto

In the face of higher costs, more Canadians are changing their grocery shopping habitshunting for bargains and switching to lower-cost brands — yet many are leaving money on the table when it comes to their single largest transaction.

According to a recent survey conducted by Mortgage Professionals Canada, homeowners are doing less haggling at renewal, despite most facing higher interest rates.

The study found that 41% of borrowers accepted the initial rate offered by their lender, up from 37% two years ago. Furthermore, just 8% say they “significantly” negotiated their rate at renewal, down by half since 2021, when 16% haggled aggressively.

“You’d assume that people would be shopping more than ever in the face of ‘renewal shock,’” says Robert Jennings of St. John’s Newfoundland-based East Coast Mortgage Broker. “In the second half of 2019, mortgage rates were well under 3%, so the mortgages that come up for renewal on a go-forward basis, rates are close to double.”

Canadians are leaving money on the table

Jennings says the MPC data is frustrating to see, given how much Canadians could be saving by working with a broker or shopping around for a better deal. He speculates that many are unaware that rates can be negotiated, and suggests that banks are being more aggressive and reaching out to clients earlier to lock them in at above market rates.

“Some bankers would even go as far as saying, ‘hey, here’s your renewal offer, if you find a better rate, tell me and I’ll try and match it,’” Jennings says. “How unethical is that? You’re telling somebody, ‘Hey, you probably can’t afford this, but we’re going to give it to you anyway, and we’re not going to give you our best rate unless you can go find a better rate.’”

Jennings adds that he finds it ironic how Canadians will spend hours on the phone haggling with their telecommunications provider to save a few bucks each month on their phone, internet and cable bills, but don’t know they should be doing the same with their mortgage. Like those telecom companies, he says most lenders save their best deals for new customers, meaning that there’s usually a better deal to be had elsewhere.

“If you know that going into your renewal, you should have the mindset of ‘I’m going to actually change my mortgage,’ as opposed to, ‘I want to stay with my bank,’” he says. “You should be offended by the interest rates that they offer.”

How rate shopping could save borrowers thousands of dollars

The potential savings from switching can also be quite significant. A borrower with a $450,000 mortgage on a 25-year fixed term that’s up for renewal after their first five, for example, can currently find interest rates ranging from 4.79% to 5.5%, according to Nolan Smith of Nanaimo-B.C.-based TMG Oceanvale Mortgage & Finance.

“We’re talking $170 less per month, which is your gas bill or maybe a chunk of your groceries, and that’s just picking a different lane,” he says. “The other thing is the balance remaining at the end of your new five-year term is about $5,000 lower, so you’re paying $5,000 more off your principal while saving $170 per month, which is about $10,000 over five years, which works out to $15,000 [in total].”

Fear and uncertainty could be to blame

Smith says Canadians wouldn’t knowingly accept a higher payment if they knew a better deal was a phone call away and suggests that many are acting out of fear. He explains that there has been a lot of negative news about mortgage renewal rates as of late, and that could be spooking borrowers into taking the first offer.

“When people get scared about what’s going on, they kind of glob onto what they know,” he says. “That could be a reason why people are just listening to what their institution is saying.”

According to a separate Leger survey, six in 10 Canadian mortgage holders — and 68% of those between 18 and 34 — say they are financially stressed. With many facing more difficult economic circumstances Ron Butler of Toronto-based Butler Mortgages says perhaps they’re afraid to negotiate because they’re concerned about qualifying.

“It’s very unlikely that isn’t a contributing factor,” he says. “But there is a difference between not caring and being scared that someone will say ‘no’ — I don’t believe people don’t care.”

In fact, the survey results — which suggests that Canadians are doing less haggling in a higher interest rate environment — is so counterintuitive that Butler finds it difficult to believe.

“I hardly believe that anybody today just cheerfully signs the first offer their lender gives them,” he says. “I think what you’re really seeing here is a sort of misinterpretation of the question.”

Butler says that counter to the survey data, he finds borrowers are actually negotiating more than ever, though many end up re-signing with their existing lender once they agree to match a more competitive rate found elsewhere.

When it comes to finding a better deal, Butler, Smith and Jennings say it’s important to do your research, shop around and work with a broker who can help explore the available options.

“Shop around, shop online, shop at other banks,” Butler says. “There’s all kinds of online information about what rates are like — it’s so easy to look at mortgage rates today and compare terms and compare rates — so why not?”

This article was written for Canadian Mortgage Trends by:
14 Jun

Average Canadian rent hits an all-time high of $2,202

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Posted by: Dean Kimoto

Average rents across Canada are now up 32% from their pandemic lows.

The average asking rent in May was $2,202, up $200 from the previous month and 9.3% from a year ago, according to the latest monthly report from Rentals.ca.

Rent prices have been climbing steadily in recent years, rising $540 or 32% since hitting their low of $1,662 in April 2021.

“Canada’s rental market is entering the peak summer season with continued strength,” said Shaun Hildebrand, President of Urbanation, which co-released the report.

“Markets such as Vancouver and Toronto that had experienced some softening in rents in previous months are stabilizing near record highs, while many of the country’s mid- and small-sized cities are still posting double-digit rent increases,” he added.

The Rentals.ca report noted that rents have averaged an annual growth rate of 9.1% over the past three years. However, when incorporating the declines experienced in 2020 and 2021, the five-year average growth rate is more moderate at 4.7%.

Saskatchewan led the provinces in rent price growth

Provincially, rents increased the most in Saskatchewan, up 21.4% to $1,334. Alberta and Nova Scotia weren’t far behind with average year-over-year increases of 17.5% and 17.1%, respectively.

Quebec was the only province to record a month-over-month decline in apartment rents during May, dipping 0.6% from April to an average of $1,999.

At the municipal level, Regina led rent price growth, with an annual rise of 22% to $1,381.

Among mid-sized markets, Quebec City and Waterloo topped the list, with average annual rent increases of 20% and 19%, respectively.

Average asking rent in May Year-over-year increase
Toronto, ON $2,784 -1%
Vancouver, BC $3,008 -4%
Montreal, QC $2,037 +6%
Calgary, AB $2,093 +8%
Ottawa, ON $2,190 +3%
Regina, SK $1,381 +22
Winnipeg, MB $1,636 +10%
Halifax, NS $2,209 +17%

This article was written for Canadian Mortgage Trends by:

11 Jun

Fixed mortgages are falling. Experts explain why and weigh in on fixed vs. variable

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Posted by: Dean Kimoto

Both existing homeowners and new homebuyers are benefiting from a drop in interest rates seen over the past week.

Following last week’s Bank of Canada interest rate cut, which lowered rates for existing variable-rate mortgage holders, bond yields also plunged, triggering reductions in fixed-mortgage rate pricing.

Last week, Government of Canada bond yields, which influence fixed mortgage rates, slipped 36 basis points before partially recovering. Mortgage providers across the country responded by lowering their fixed mortgage rates by as much as 25 basis points, or 0.25%.

Rate reductions were seen across all terms, although predominantly in 3- and 5-year terms.

Mortgage broker and rate analyst Ryan Sims told CMT the rate drops are due to last week’s Bank of Canada rate cut, as well as the rise in bank mortgage default rates and weakening economic data, including slower-than-expected GDP growth and easing inflation.

“Also, let’s keep in mind that 5-year fixed rates—even after this recent slide—are still about 20 bps higher than where we were back in January,” Sims said. “‘Range-bound’ would be a good term [to describe the latest rate movement].”

“But if we continue to see inflation slip lower, that should be supportive of higher bond prices and lower yields,” he added. “Of course, if we start to see inflation pick back up, then expect the opposite.

Big banks are the big exception

While most lenders have been busy lowering their rates, the Big Banks have remained largely silent.

Posted special rates from all of the big banks remain practically untouched over the past month, aside from some discretionary pricing, sources say.

As Ron Butler of Butler Mortgage has told CMT in the past, interest rates typically “take the elevator on the way up, and the stairs on the way down.”

Sims speculates that the chartered banks are hoping to take some profit as they see their loan losses mount.

“Over the last six months, the Big 5 have written off over $3 billion of bad debt…and no, I don’t mean loan loss provisions,” he said. “Being a little slow to drop rates will give them a little padding to make it back up, albeit slowly.”

Sims also believes the banks want to see if last week’s rate changes are a ‘knee-jerk’ reaction to the Bank of Canada rate cut, or if they’re more sustained. If the rate cuts hold, he suspects rate drops from the big banks will follow in the coming week or so.

Where do rates go from here?

Expect mortgage rates to fluctuate going forward, taking their direction from bond yield movements in response to economic data.

“The path for rates will remain unpredictable as always, and certainly not a straight line down,” Sims said.

Similarly, Butler tells CMT that rates will trend lower from here, the journey will be uneven.

“Expect a bumpy decline, but eventually lower rates than today,” he said, adding that borrowers shouldn’t expect any mortgage rates below 4% this year.

As it stands, the lowest nationally available mortgage rate currently stands at 4.59% from Citadel Mortgage. That’s for 5-year fixed default-insured mortgages only, or those with a down payment of less than 20%.

Which mortgage offers the best value?

But while 5-year fixed mortgage rates are currently among the lowest, borrowers may be wary about locking in for such a long term given the likelihood that rates will continue to decline from here.

That begs the question: for today’s mortgage shoppers, which mortgage term currently offers the best value over the term of the mortgage?

For Butler, the answer is a 3-year fixed mortgage, which can be had for as low as 4.84% for a default-insured mortgage and 5.19% for a conventional mortgage, according to data from MortgageLogic.news.

While Sims said he tends to favour variable rates over the longer term, he finds the spread right now is too great at roughly 115 basis points, and thinks a fixed term makes more sense.

“For the variable to make sense, you would need to see another five cuts [in addition to the June rate cut] to break even,” he told CMT. “Will we get five cuts? Probably, however the timing may take a lot longer than people realize.”

That could result in variable-rate borrowers overpaying at the beginning of their term in the hopes of lower rates down the road. But Sims says the other factor to consider is that banks and other lenders don’t pass along the full magnitude of the rate cuts, particularly if mortgage losses start to mount.

“If someone is comfortable with the payment, then the fixed mortgage will win out,” he added. “Less stress, less hassle, and a lot of predictability. And in today’s environment, predictability is worth something.”

However, mortgage broker Dave Larock of Integrated Mortgage Planners recently posted some comparisons on fixed rates vs. variable and how each would perform under several different scenarios.

His conclusion? Depending on the simulation, either product could be a good choice and save the borrower money over the longer term.

“There is no way to know for sure where rates are headed, but if we are, in fact, near the peak of the current interest-rate cycle, the odds should favour variable-rate mortgages,” he wrote.

“[But] if you’re a more conservative and risk-adverse borrower, I think 3-year terms are still the best choice among today’s fixed-rate options,” he added.

This article was written for Canadian Mortgage Trends by:
6 Jun

Bank of Canada Cuts Overnight Rate 25 bps to 4.75%

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Posted by: Dean Kimoto

A collective sigh of relief as the BoC cut rates for the first time in 27 month

Today, the Bank of Canada boosted consumer and business confidence by cutting the overnight rate by 25 bps to 4.75% and pledged to continue reducing the size of its balance sheet. The news came on the heels of weaker-than-expected GDP growth in the final quarter of last year and Q1 of this year, accompanied by CPI inflation easing further in April to 2.7%. “The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation also slowed, and three-month measures suggest continued downward momentum. Indicators of the breadth of price increases across components of the CPI have moved down further and are near their historical average.”

With continued evidence that underlying inflation is easing, the Governing Council agreed that monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive. Recent data has increased our confidence that inflation will continue to move towards the 2% target. Nonetheless, risks to the inflation outlook remain. “Governing Council is closely watching the evolution of core inflation and remains particularly focused on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behaviour.”

As shown in the second chart below, the nominal overnight rate remains 215 basis points above the current median CPI inflation rate, which shows how restrictive monetary policy remains. The average of this measure of real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates in the past 30 years is just 60 bps. The overnight rate is headed for 3.0% by the end of next year.

Bottom Line

There are four more policy decision meetings before the end of this year. It wouldn’t surprise me to see at least three more quarter-point rate cuts this year. While the overnight rate is likely headed for 3.0%, it will remain well above the pre-COVID overnight rate of 1.75% as inflation trends towards 2%+ rather than the sub-2% average in the decade before COVID-19.

Please Note: The source of this article is from SherryCooper.com/category/articles/
3 Jun

BMO reports increased delinquencies, predicts prolonged high interest rates

General

Posted by: Dean Kimoto

BMO reported a rise in delinquencies in the second quarter and said it expects credit challenges to persist with interest rates now likely to remain higher for longer.

The bank saw 90+ day delinquencies in its real-estate secured lending (RESL) portfolio rise to 0.19% in the quarter, up from 0.17% last quarter and 0.14% of its portfolio a year ago.

Despite the rise in late payments in the bank’s RESL portfolio, it says actual losses have been concentrated n unsecured lending, such as consumer loans, credit cards and business and government loans.

“The credit themes we’ve been seeing over the last several quarters continue to play out as the higher level of interest rates and slowing economic activity are reflected in credit migration and higher impaired loss rates,” Chief Risk Officer Piyush Agrawal said during the bank’s second-quarter earnings call.

The bank disclosed it set aside $705 million in loan loss provisions in the quarter, which are funds banks must keep on hand to cover potential future losses. That’s up from $627 million in the previous quarter.

Losses are expected to mount across various lending portfolios in the coming quarters as clients struggle with payments as interest rates remain at elevated levels. Like other banks, BMO also adjusted its rate-cut forecasts for both the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve.

“We now expect somewhat fewer and delayed rate cuts this year in both Canada and U.S., with the Bank of Canada expected to begin lowering rates this summer and the Fed in the fall at a moderate pace,” said President and CEO Darryl White.

“Credit risk, while elevated from last quarter, is well managed in what continues to be a challenging environment for many of our customers, where some individuals and businesses are being impacted by prolonged higher interest rates and a slowing economy,” he added.

42% of BMO’s variable-rate mortgages still in negative amortization

BMO also disclosed details about its mortgage portfolio and the status of its fixed-payment variable-rate mortgage clients.

As of Q2, BMO still has $19.9 billion worth of mortgages in negative amortization, representing about 42% of its total variable-rate mortgage portfolio. This is down from a peak of 62% of its variable-rate mortgages in negative amortization.

  • What is negative amortization? Negative amortization impacts borrowers with fixed-payment variable-rate mortgages in an environment when prime rate rises significantly, resulting in the borrower’s monthly payment not covering the full interest amount. This causes the mortgage to grow rather than shrink.

“Our outreach to customers continues to be successful with many taking actions, resulting in a significant reduction in mortgages that are in negative amortization,” Agrawal said last quarter.

The bank also provided updated figures on the number of renewals it anticipates in the coming years.

While the bank expects just 14%, or $20.5 billion, of its mortgage balances to renew in the next 12 months, more than 70% of its mortgages are up for renewal after fiscal 2025.

For those that have already renewed their mortgage, BMO said clients have experiences an average increase to their regular payment of 22% for variable mortgages and 19% for fixed mortgages.

However, BMO says it’s proactive outreach to customers continues to yield positive results in helping them to address credit issues before they lead to losses on the bank’s balance sheet.

“We’ve been very successful in proactive contact to customers, getting in front of the situation for them and helping them navigate, whether that be mortgages or credit cards or any unsecured lending,” said Ernie Johannson, Head of BMO North American Personal and Business Banking.

“And what we are finding is the receptivity has been very strong and the performance of those contacts have been very helpful to the customers and ultimately in us being able to navigate and reduce losses,” he added. “Efforts are good and they will continue over the course of the next probably a year as we go forward.”

2 The average payment increase reflects an assumed interest rate of 5.75% at renewal and includes regular payments and additional pre payments made to date


BMO has also continued to see the share of its mortgages with a remaining amortization above 30 years continue to decline each quarter, reaching 23.6% as of Q2, down from nearly a third a year ago.

Remaining amortizations for BMO residential mortgages

Q2 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024
16-20 years 13.5% 13.9% 14.1%
21-25 years 31.8% 32.4% 32.2%
26-30 years 14.3% 19.3% 20.4%
30 years and more 31% 24.7% 23.6%
Remaining amortization is based on current balance, interest rate, customer payment amount and payment frequency.

BMO earnings highlights

Q2 net income (adjusted): $2 billion (-7% Y/Y)
Earnings per share (adjusted): $2.59

Q2 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024
Residential mortgage portfolio $143.8B $150B $151.8B
HELOC portfolio $48.1B $48.7B $48.9B
Percentage of mortgage portfolio uninsured 70% 71% 72%
Avg. loan-to-value (LTV) of uninsured book 52% 56% 56%
Mortgages renewing in the next 12 months $23B $17.6B $20.5B
% of portfolio with an effective amz of <25 yrs 55% 56% 56%
90-day delinquency rate (mortgage portfolio) 0.14% 0.17% 0.19%
Canadian banking net interest margin (NIM) 2.70% 2.77% 2.80%
Total provisions for credit losses $1.02B $627M $705M
CET1 Ratio 12.2% 12.8% 13.1%
Source: BMO Q2 Investor Presentation

Conference Call

On deposit growth and customer acquisition:

  • BMO saw its total Canadian deposits grow 9% year-over-year “due to new customer acquisition, a comprehensive onboarding program and increased customer primacy.”
    • “We’ve seen strong momentum from newcomers to Canada, up 35% compared with last year, due to the success of BMO’s New Start program,” said President and CEO Darryl White.

On reduced rate-cut expectations:

  • “We now expect somewhat fewer and delayed rate cuts this year in both Canada and the US, with the Bank of Canada expected to begin lowering rates this summer and the Fed in the fall at a moderated pace,” White said.
  • “We expect that the delay in central bank easing of monetary policy and slowing economic activity could keep impaired provisions at around [current] levels over the next couple of quarters,” said Chief Risk Officer Piyush Agrawal.

On commercial real estate:

  • Canadian commercial impaired loan provisions were $48 million, or up $14 million from last quarter.
  • “Commercial real estate, including office, is performing in-line with our expectations and we maintain strong coverage,” said Agrawal. “But given the rate environment, we do expect modest provisions going forward.”

On BMO’s risk appetite given rising provisions for credit losses:

  • “Nothing has changed. Our appetite hasn’t changed, our underwriting practices haven’t changed,” said President and CEO Darryl White. “The composition, particularly in the wholesale side of the business, where, as we told you before 90% of the relationships are sole or lead relationships, haven’t changed.”

Source: BMO Q2 conference call


Note: Transcripts are provided as-is from the companies and/or third-party sources, and their accuracy cannot be 100% assured.

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